Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Radomiaka, Radom
The Footlab model makes Radomiak Radom the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Pogon Szczecin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Radomiak Radom (1,900) and Pogon Szczecin (1,993).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radomiak Radom have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Pogon Szczecin have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Radomiak Radom win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Pogon Szczecin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Pogon Szczecin 2-2 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Radomiak Radom 5-1 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| May 10, 2025 | Radomiak Radom 2-0 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Pogon Szczecin 0-1 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Radomiak Radom 0-4 Pogon Szczecin | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Pogon Szczecin 0-2 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radomiak Radom | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Pogon Szczecin | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Radomiak Radom sit 16th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Pogon Szczecin sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin?
- The Footlab model makes Radomiak Radom the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Pogon Szczecin.
- Where and when is Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin played?
- Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Radomiaka, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsWidzew Łódź
- Apr 17, 2027Wisla PlockvsJagiellonia
- Apr 17, 2027Zaglebie LubinvsMotor Lublin
- Apr 17, 2027Lech PoznanvsLegia Warszawa
- Apr 17, 2027Cracovia KrakowvsPiast Gliwice
- Apr 17, 2027GKS KatowicevsKorona Kielce
- Apr 17, 2027Raków CzęstochowavsWisla Krakow
- Apr 17, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsSlask Wroclaw