Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Wieczysta Kraków played?

Pogon Szczecin vs Wieczysta Kraków is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pogon Szczecin vs Wieczysta Kraków: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin

Wieczysta Kraków

The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Wieczysta Kraków. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Wieczysta Kraków?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Pogon Szczecin (1,991) and Wieczysta Kraków (1,927).

Pogon Szczecin win52 %

Draw25 %

Wieczysta Kraków win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogon Szczecin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Wieczysta Kraków have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogon Szczecin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026	Sturm Graz(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Wieczysta Kraków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Piast Gliwice(away)	4-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026	Lech Poznan(home)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026	Maccabi Netanya(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wieczysta Kraków score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pogon Szczecin	1.4	1.3	4	7/15	8/15
Wieczysta Kraków	2.0	1.7	1	12/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogon Szczecin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Wieczysta Kraków sit 17th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	1	1	7	4	7
17	Wieczysta Kraków	4	1	0	3	8	10	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogon Szczecin vs Wieczysta Kraków?: The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Wieczysta Kraków.
Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Wieczysta Kraków played?: Pogon Szczecin vs Wieczysta Kraków is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.