Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tarczyński Arena, Wrocław
The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Korona Kielce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Slask Wroclaw (1,958) and Korona Kielce (1,943).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slask Wroclaw have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Korona Kielce have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Slask Wroclaw win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Korona Kielce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Korona Kielce 2-0 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Slask Wroclaw 0-0 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2023 | Korona Kielce 1-1 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2022 | Korona Kielce 3-1 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce vs Slask Wroclaw on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Slask Wroclaw score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Korona Kielce | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slask Wroclaw sit 12th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Korona Kielce sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce?
- The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Korona Kielce.
- Where and when is Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce played?
- Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tarczyński Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Wisla KrakowvsJagiellonia
- Sep 12, 2026Legia WarszawavsWidzew Łódź
- Sep 12, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsLech Poznan
- Sep 12, 2026Wisla PlockvsCracovia Krakow
- Sep 12, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsGKS Katowice
- Sep 12, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsWieczysta Kraków
- Sep 12, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsMotor Lublin
- Sep 12, 2026Radomiak RadomvsPiast Gliwice