Match

Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tarczyński Arena, Wrocław

Slask WroclawKorona Kielce

The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Korona Kielce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Slask Wroclaw (1,958) and Korona Kielce (1,943).

Slask Wroclaw win48 %
Draw26 %
Korona Kielce win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slask Wroclaw have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Korona Kielce have 3, 8 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slask Wroclaw
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Widzew Łódź(home)3-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Cracovia Krakow(home)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026Raków Częstochowa(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026Gornik Zabrze(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Motor Lublin(home)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Widzew Łódź(away)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)1-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026Jagiellonia(away)0-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 17, 2026Nieciecza(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Slask Wroclaw win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Korona Kielce win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2025Korona Kielce 2-0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
Aug 18, 2024Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
Dec 9, 2023Slask Wroclaw 0-0 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
Jul 24, 2023Korona Kielce 1-1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
Feb 11, 2023Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
Aug 1, 2022Korona Kielce 3-1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce vs Slask Wroclaw on Feb 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Slask Wroclaw score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Slask Wroclaw2.11.1510/1512/15
Korona Kielce0.90.947/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slask Wroclaw sit 12th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Korona Kielce sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Korona Kielce4121445
12Slask Wroclaw5122785

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce?
The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Korona Kielce.
Where and when is Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce played?
Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tarczyński Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Slask Wroclaw and Korona Kielce

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