Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Radomiaka, Radom
The Footlab model makes Radomiak Radom the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Piast Gliwice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Radomiak Radom (1,896) and Piast Gliwice (1,913).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radomiak Radom have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Piast Gliwice have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Radomiak Radom win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Piast Gliwice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Piast Gliwice 3-1 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Radomiak Radom 1-0 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| May 4, 2025 | Piast Gliwice 0-0 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Radomiak Radom 1-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Piast Gliwice 2-3 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Radomiak Radom 1-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Piast Gliwice vs Radomiak Radom on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radomiak Radom | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Piast Gliwice | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Radomiak Radom sit 15th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Piast Gliwice sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice?
- The Footlab model makes Radomiak Radom the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Piast Gliwice.
- Where and when is Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice played?
- Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Radomiaka, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Slask WroclawvsKorona Kielce
- Sep 12, 2026Wisla KrakowvsJagiellonia
- Sep 12, 2026Legia WarszawavsWidzew Łódź
- Sep 12, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsLech Poznan
- Sep 12, 2026Wisla PlockvsCracovia Krakow
- Sep 12, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsGKS Katowice
- Sep 12, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsWieczysta Kraków
- Sep 12, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsMotor Lublin