Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa
The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Widzew Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Legia Warszawa (2,056) and Widzew Łódź (1,966).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legia Warszawa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Widzew Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Korona Kielce(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisla Plock(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Legia Warszawa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Widzew Łódź win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Legia Warszawa 1-0 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 1-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| May 15, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 0-2 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Legia Warszawa 2-1 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Legia Warszawa 2-1 Widzew Łódź | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Widzew Łódź 1-0 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Widzew Łódź | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Legia Warszawa sit 1st in Ekstraklasa (11 points from 5 matches) and Widzew Łódź sit 7th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Widzew Łódź | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź?
- The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Widzew Łódź.
- Where and when is Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź played?
- Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Slask WroclawvsKorona Kielce
- Sep 12, 2026Wisla KrakowvsJagiellonia
- Sep 12, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsLech Poznan
- Sep 12, 2026Wisla PlockvsCracovia Krakow
- Sep 12, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsGKS Katowice
- Sep 12, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsWieczysta Kraków
- Sep 12, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsMotor Lublin
- Sep 12, 2026Radomiak RadomvsPiast Gliwice