Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin played?

Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa

Motor Lublin

The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Motor Lublin. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin?

Raków Częstochowa starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (2,031 vs 1,930).

Raków Częstochowa win64 %

Draw20 %

Motor Lublin win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raków Częstochowa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Motor Lublin have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Raków Częstochowa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	HNK Hajduk Split(away)	2-2	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026	Hammarby FF(away)	1-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026	Hammarby FF(home)	0-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa

Motor Lublin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Korona Kielce(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	GKS Katowice(home)	1-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Jagiellonia(home)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Widzew Łódź(away)	2-2	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Raków Częstochowa win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Motor Lublin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Motor Lublin 1-1 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
Oct 5, 2025	Raków Częstochowa 2-0 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
Dec 7, 2024	Raków Częstochowa 2-2 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
Jul 21, 2024	Motor Lublin 0-2 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
Mar 1, 2023	Motor Lublin 0-3 Raków Częstochowa	Cup

Last archived meeting: Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Raków Częstochowa	1.7	1.3	5	9/15	10/15
Motor Lublin	1.4	1.6	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in Ekstraklasa (0 points from 3 matches) and Motor Lublin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	6	8	5
18	Raków Częstochowa	3	0	0	3	3	6	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin?: The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Motor Lublin.
Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin played?: Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.