Where and when is Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC played?

Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Providence Park, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Providence Park, Portland, Oregon

Portland Timbers

Atlanta United FC

The Footlab model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Atlanta United FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Portland Timbers (1,819) and Atlanta United FC (1,731).

Portland Timbers win57 %

Draw22 %

Atlanta United FC win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portland Timbers have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Atlanta United FC have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Portland Timbers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	San Diego(home)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Chicago Fire(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026	Club Tijuana(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Club America(away)	1-3	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	Puebla(home)	5-2	Leagues Cup

Atlanta United FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Minnesota United FC(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	New York Red Bulls(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	Philadelphia Union(away)	2-3	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	New England Revolution(away)	1-4	Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026	Charlotte(away)	2-2	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Portland Timbers win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Atlanta United FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 18, 2023	Atlanta United FC 5-1 Portland Timbers	Major League Soccer
Sep 4, 2022	Portland Timbers 2-1 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2019	Portland Timbers 0-2 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
Dec 9, 2018	Atlanta United FC 2-0 Portland Timbers	Major League Soccer
Jun 24, 2018	Atlanta United FC 1-1 Portland Timbers	Major League Soccer
May 14, 2017	Portland Timbers 1-1 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Atlanta United FC vs Portland Timbers on Mar 18, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Portland Timbers score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Atlanta United FC score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Portland Timbers	2.3	1.6	1	12/15	13/15
Atlanta United FC	1.3	1.8	1	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Portland Timbers sit 9th in Major League Soccer (27 points from 20 matches) and Atlanta United FC sit 15th (18 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Portland Timbers	20	8	3	9	37	36	27
15	Atlanta United FC	20	5	3	12	23	35	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC?: The Footlab model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Atlanta United FC.
Where and when is Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC played?: Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Providence Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.