Portland Timbers vs Charlotte: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Providence Park, Portland, Oregon
The Footlab model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Charlotte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Portland Timbers (1,787) and Charlotte (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portland Timbers have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Charlotte have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chicago Fire(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | DC United(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Toronto FC(away) | 3-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Columbus Crew(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Portland Timbers win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Charlotte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Charlotte 2-0 Portland Timbers | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 4, 2024 | Charlotte 2-0 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Charlotte vs Portland Timbers on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Portland Timbers score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Charlotte score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Charlotte | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portland Timbers sit 9th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 21 matches) and Charlotte sit 5th (32 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Charlotte | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 32 | 32 |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 37 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?
- The Footlab model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Charlotte.
- Where and when is Portland Timbers vs Charlotte played?
- Portland Timbers vs Charlotte is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Providence Park, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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