Where and when is Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC played?

Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Providence Park, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Providence Park, Portland, Oregon

Portland Timbers

Minnesota United FC

The Footlab model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Minnesota United FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Portland Timbers (1,819) and Minnesota United FC (1,805).

Portland Timbers win48 %

Draw24 %

Minnesota United FC win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portland Timbers have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Minnesota United FC have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Portland Timbers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	San Diego(home)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Chicago Fire(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026	Club Tijuana(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Club America(away)	1-3	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	Puebla(home)	5-2	Leagues Cup

Minnesota United FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Atlanta United FC(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Real Salt Lake(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atlante FC(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Tigres UANL(away)	0-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 5, 2026	FC Juarez(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Portland Timbers win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Minnesota United FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Minnesota United FC 2-0 Portland Timbers	Major League Soccer
Aug 31, 2025	Minnesota United FC 1-1 Portland Timbers	Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2025	Portland Timbers 1-1 Minnesota United FC	Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024	Portland Timbers 3-2 Minnesota United FC	Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024	Minnesota United FC 2-1 Portland Timbers	Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023	Minnesota United FC 4-1 Portland Timbers	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Minnesota United FC vs Portland Timbers on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Portland Timbers score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Minnesota United FC score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Portland Timbers	2.3	1.6	1	12/15	13/15
Minnesota United FC	1.1	1.5	2	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Portland Timbers sit 9th in Major League Soccer (27 points from 20 matches) and Minnesota United FC sit 11th (25 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Portland Timbers	20	8	3	9	37	36	27
11	Minnesota United FC	20	6	7	7	22	28	25

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC?: The Footlab model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Minnesota United FC.
Where and when is Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC played?: Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Providence Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.