Where and when is Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City played?

Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City is played on September 10, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Providence Park, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Providence Park, Portland, Oregon

Portland Timbers

St. Louis City

The Footlab model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for St. Louis City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Portland Timbers (1,787) and St. Louis City (1,806).

Portland Timbers win42 %

Draw24 %

St. Louis City win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portland Timbers have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; St. Louis City have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Portland Timbers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Los Angeles FC(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	San Diego(home)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Chicago Fire(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026	Club Tijuana(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Club America(away)	1-3	Leagues Cup

St. Louis City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Houston Dynamo(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Sporting Kansas City(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	San Jose Earthquakes(away)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026	Real Salt Lake(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026	Colorado Rapids(home)	1-0	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Portland Timbers win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 St. Louis City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 13, 2025	St. Louis City 2-1 Portland Timbers	Major League Soccer
Jun 8, 2025	Portland Timbers 2-1 St. Louis City	Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024	Portland Timbers 4-4 St. Louis City	Major League Soccer
Aug 10, 2024	St. Louis City 3-1 Portland Timbers	Leagues Cup
Jun 9, 2024	St. Louis City 0-0 Portland Timbers	Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2023	St. Louis City 1-2 Portland Timbers	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers on Jul 13, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Portland Timbers score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; St. Louis City score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Portland Timbers	2.3	1.6	1	12/15	12/15
St. Louis City	1.8	1.1	3	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Portland Timbers sit 9th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 21 matches) and St. Louis City sit 6th (33 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	St. Louis City	21	9	6	6	30	27	33
9	Portland Timbers	21	8	4	9	38	37	28

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City?: The Footlab model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for St. Louis City.
Where and when is Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City played?: Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City is played on September 10, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Providence Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.