Portland United vs Hungerford Town: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Camp & Satherley Stadium, Portland, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Portland United the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hungerford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portland United vs Hungerford Town?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Portland United (1,643) and Hungerford Town (1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Portland United have 3 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Hungerford Town have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Hythe & Dibden(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Hamworthy Recreation(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Horndean(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Lymington Town(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 10, 2021 | Bournemouth FC(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Dorchester Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
How many goals should we expect?
Portland United score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 12; Hungerford Town score 0.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland United | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 4/12 | 7/12 |
| Hungerford Town | 0.8 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portland United vs Hungerford Town?
- The Footlab model makes Portland United the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hungerford Town.
- Where and when is Portland United vs Hungerford Town played?
- Portland United vs Hungerford Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Camp & Satherley Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Prescot CablesvsVauxhall Motors
- Aug 28, 2026Potters Bar TownvsBarton Rovers
- Aug 28, 2026AFC PortchestervsWhitstable Town
- Aug 28, 2026Ascot UnitedvsMargate
- Aug 28, 2026Garforth TownvsBridlington Town
- Aug 28, 2026Steyning TownvsMoneyfields
- Aug 28, 2026Littlehampton TownvsRaynes Park Vale
- Aug 28, 2026Aylesbury UnitedvsSittingbourne