Quorn vs AFC Emley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Farley Way Stadium, Quorn, Leicestershire
The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quorn vs AFC Emley?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Quorn (1,768) and AFC Emley (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quorn have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; AFC Emley have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Quorn score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Emley score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quorn | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| AFC Emley | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quorn sit 21st in Non League Premier - Northern (2 points from 5 matches) and AFC Emley sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | AFC Emley | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 21 | Quorn | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quorn vs AFC Emley?
- The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for AFC Emley.
- Where and when is Quorn vs AFC Emley played?
- Quorn vs AFC Emley is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Farley Way Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026BuryvsWhitby Town
- Dec 19, 2026Guiseley AFCvsHyde United
- Dec 19, 2026Alfreton TownvsLancaster City
- Dec 19, 2026WorkingtonvsCurzon Ashton
- Dec 19, 2026Cleethorpes TownvsLeek Town
- Dec 19, 2026Ashton UnitedvsUnited of Manchester
- Dec 19, 2026Bamber BridgevsIlkeston Town
- Dec 19, 2026Warrington TownvsStockton Town