Match

Quorn vs Lancaster City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Farley Way Stadium, Quorn, Leicestershire

QuornLancaster City

The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Lancaster City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Quorn vs Lancaster City?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Quorn (1,768) and Lancaster City (1,745).

Quorn win43 %
Draw27 %
Lancaster City win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quorn have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Lancaster City have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Quorn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(home)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Lancaster City(away)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Rylands(away)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Redcar Athletic(home)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Cleethorpes Town(home)0-5Non League Premier - Northern
Lancaster City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Bury(away)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Quorn(home)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Redcar Athletic(away)1-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Hyde United(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Rylands(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Quorn win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lancaster City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lancaster City 2-2 QuornNon League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Lancaster City vs Quorn on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Quorn score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lancaster City score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Quorn1.01.938/159/15
Lancaster City1.51.369/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Quorn sit 21st in Non League Premier - Northern (3 points from 6 matches) and Lancaster City sit 13th (7 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Lancaster City62137117
21Quorn60336133

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Quorn vs Lancaster City?
The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Lancaster City.
Where and when is Quorn vs Lancaster City played?
Quorn vs Lancaster City is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Farley Way Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Quorn and Lancaster City

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