Quorn vs Lancaster City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Farley Way Stadium, Quorn, Leicestershire
The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Lancaster City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quorn vs Lancaster City?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Quorn (1,768) and Lancaster City (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quorn have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Lancaster City have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Quorn win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lancaster City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lancaster City 2-2 Quorn | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Lancaster City vs Quorn on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Quorn score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lancaster City score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quorn | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lancaster City | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quorn sit 21st in Non League Premier - Northern (3 points from 6 matches) and Lancaster City sit 13th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lancaster City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 21 | Quorn | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quorn vs Lancaster City?
- The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Lancaster City.
- Where and when is Quorn vs Lancaster City played?
- Quorn vs Lancaster City is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Farley Way Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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