Racing Cordoba vs Deportivo Moron: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Sancho, Ciudad de Córdoba, Provincia de Córdoba
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Moron the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Racing Cordoba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Cordoba vs Deportivo Moron?
Deportivo Moron starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Cordoba have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Deportivo Moron have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Martin S.J.(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Almirante Brown(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Telmo(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | San Telmo(away) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Almagro(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Acassuso(home) | 4-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ferro Carril Oeste(home) | 4-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Racing Cordoba win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Deportivo Moron win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportivo Moron 2-1 Racing Cordoba | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Moron vs Racing Cordoba on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Cordoba score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Moron score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Cordoba | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Deportivo Moron | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Cordoba sit 10th in Primera Nacional (32 points from 26 matches) and Deportivo Moron sit 2nd (45 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 45 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 29 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Cordoba vs Deportivo Moron?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Moron the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Racing Cordoba.
- Where and when is Racing Cordoba vs Deportivo Moron played?
- Racing Cordoba vs Deportivo Moron is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Sancho, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.