Real Betis vs Malaga: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, Sevilla
The Footlab AI model makes Real Betis the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Malaga. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Betis vs Malaga?
Real Betis starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (2,137 vs 1,964).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Betis vs Malaga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Betis
4-2-3-1- 9C. Hernández
- 7Antony
- 10A. Ezzalzouli
- 8Pablo Fornals
- 21Marc Roca
- 18N. Deossa
- 4Natan
- 2Héctor Bellerín
- 11Fran García
- 5Marc Bartra
- 1Álvaro Vallés
Malaga
4-1-4-1- 9Chupe
- 10David Larrubia
- 8Carlos Dotor
- 22Dani Lorenzo
- 11Joaquín Muñoz
- 23Izan Merino
- 15Ángel Recio
- 12José Salinas
- 31Rafita
- 4Einar Galilea
- 1Alfonso Herrero
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Betis have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Malaga have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Lille(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Levante(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 0-4 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Real Betis wins, 0 draws, 2 Malaga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Malaga 3-1 Real Betis | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2018 | Real Betis 2-1 Malaga | La Liga |
| Dec 18, 2017 | Malaga 0-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Feb 28, 2017 | Malaga 1-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2016 | Real Betis 1-0 Malaga | La Liga |
| Mar 19, 2016 | Real Betis 0-1 Malaga | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Betis score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Malaga score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Malaga | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Betis sit 3rd in La Liga (16 points from 7 matches) and Malaga sit 20th (3 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| 20 | Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
A question about Real Betis vs Malaga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Betis vs Malaga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Betis the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Malaga.
- Where and when is Real Betis vs Malaga played?
- Real Betis vs Malaga is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.