Match

Bayern München vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Arena, München

Bayern MünchenSC Freiburg

The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for SC Freiburg. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,937 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayern München vs SC Freiburg?

Bayern München starts as the favourite with a 298-point Elo edge (2,558 vs 2,260).

76%14%10%
Bayern München winDrawSC Freiburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bayern München vs SC Freiburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bayern München

4-2-3-1
  1. 9H. Kane
  1. 45A. Pavlović
  2. 34I. Saibari
  3. 17M. Olise
  4. 6J. Kimmich
  5. 14L. Díaz
  1. 2D. Upamecano
  2. 3Kim Min-Jae
  3. 27K. Laimer
  4. 11N. Brown
  1. 40J. Urbig

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 31I. Matanović
  1. 8M. Eggestein
  2. 19J. Beste
  3. 16Y. Engelhardt
  4. 7D. Scherhant
  5. 14Y. Suzuki
  1. 28M. Ginter
  2. 3P. Lienhart
  3. 33J. Makengo
  4. 29P. Treu
  1. 1M. Backhaus

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:54 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayern München have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; SC Freiburg have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayern München
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Arsenal(home)2-2UEFA Champions League
Oct 17, 2026RB Leipzig(home)6-1Bundesliga
Oct 13, 2026Viking(away)3-3UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026FC Augsburg(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2026Union Berlin(home)7-0Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)1-2Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026FK Jablonec(home)3-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026FC Luzern(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)2-2Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bayern München wins, 1 draw, 0 SC Freiburg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026SC Freiburg 2-3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Nov 22, 2025Bayern München 6-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Jan 25, 2025SC Freiburg 1-2 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Sep 1, 2024Bayern München 2-0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Mar 1, 2024SC Freiburg 2-2 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Oct 8, 2023Bayern München 3-0 SC FreiburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs Bayern München on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayern München score 3.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 2.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bayern München3.31.1312/1514/15
SC Freiburg2.81.1410/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayern München sit 1st in Bundesliga (14 points from 6 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Bayern München642022514
3SC Freiburg641115613

A question about Bayern München vs SC Freiburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayern München vs SC Freiburg?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for SC Freiburg.
Where and when is Bayern München vs SC Freiburg played?
Bayern München vs SC Freiburg is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bayern München and SC Freiburg

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