Match

SV Elversberg vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

SV ElversbergRB Leipzig

The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for SV Elversberg. The most likely score is 1-1. If RB Leipzig wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (2,218 vs 2,118).

30%23%47%
SV Elversberg winDrawRB Leipzig win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SV Elversberg vs RB Leipzig

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SV Elversberg

4-2-3-1
  1. 42D. Mokwa
  1. 25L. Petkov
  2. 43F. Keidel
  3. 8Ł. Poręba
  4. 10Noah Darvich
  5. 39William Cole Campbell
  1. 21L. Günther
  2. 31M. Rohr
  3. 19L. Pinckert
  4. 30J. Gyamerah
  1. 20N. Kristof

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
  1. 40Rômulo
  1. 7A. Nusa
  2. 6E. Banzuzi
  3. 21N. El Aynaoui
  4. 28C. Nkunku
  5. 10B. Gruda
  1. 4W. Orbán
  2. 22D. Raum
  3. 17R. Baku
  4. 23C. Lukeba
  1. 26M. Vandevoordt

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:50 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Elversberg have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; RB Leipzig have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Elversberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Union Berlin(away)0-1Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026FC Schalke 04(away)0-0Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Bayern München(home)1-2Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)4-3Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)3-2Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026PSV Eindhoven(home)1-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)6-0Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Hamburger SV(home)5-0Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Como(away)1-4UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 SV Elversberg win, 0 draws, 1 RB Leipzig win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 2, 2014RB Leipzig 2-0 SV Elversberg3. Liga
Sep 7, 2013SV Elversberg 1-0 RB Leipzig3. Liga

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg on Mar 2, 2014

How many goals should we expect?

SV Elversberg score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SV Elversberg2.21.3410/1510/15
RB Leipzig2.21.576/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SV Elversberg sit 9th in Bundesliga (7 points from 5 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5RB Leipzig53021559
9SV Elversberg5212887

A question about SV Elversberg vs RB Leipzig?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs RB Leipzig?
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for SV Elversberg.
Where and when is SV Elversberg vs RB Leipzig played?
SV Elversberg vs RB Leipzig is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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