Match

SV Elversberg vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

SV ElversbergRB Leipzig

The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for SV Elversberg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (2,211 vs 2,098).

SV Elversberg win33 %
Draw24 %
RB Leipzig win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Elversberg have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; RB Leipzig have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Elversberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026MSV Duisburg(away)3-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Lorient(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Mallorca(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026Strasbourg(away)5-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026NEC Nijmegen(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Eintracht Trier(away)6-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Bayern München(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Leeds(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Verl(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 SV Elversberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 RB Leipzig win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 2, 2014RB Leipzig 2-0 SV Elversberg3. Liga
Sep 7, 2013SV Elversberg 1-0 RB Leipzig3. Liga

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg on Mar 2, 2014

How many goals should we expect?

SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SV Elversberg2.51.2411/1511/15
RB Leipzig2.21.459/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3RB Leipzig342059664765

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs RB Leipzig?
The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for SV Elversberg.
Where and when is SV Elversberg vs RB Leipzig played?
SV Elversberg vs RB Leipzig is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SV Elversberg and RB Leipzig

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