Match

Real Apodaca vs Atlético Saltillo: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 2Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, Apodaca Centro

Real ApodacaAtlético Saltillo

The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Atlético Saltillo. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Apodaca vs Atlético Saltillo?

Real Apodaca starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,996 vs 1,847).

Real Apodaca win64 %
Draw21 %
Atlético Saltillo win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Apodaca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Atlético Saltillo have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Apodaca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Deportiva Venados(home)2-4Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 30, 2026Deportiva Venados(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 26, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(home)3-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 23, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026Correcaminos UAT II(away)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Atlético Saltillo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2024Leones Negros(away)1-4Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 21, 2024Tritons Vallarta(home)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 13, 2024Colima(away)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 7, 2024Tecos(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2024Correcaminos UAT II(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Apodaca win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Atlético Saltillo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 3, 2024Atlético Saltillo 0-0 Real ApodacaLiga Premier Serie A
Oct 1, 2023Real Apodaca 1-1 Atlético SaltilloLiga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: Atlético Saltillo vs Real Apodaca on Mar 3, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Real Apodaca score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Saltillo score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Apodaca1.51.076/158/15
Atlético Saltillo0.81.175/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Real Apodaca262123471966

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Apodaca vs Atlético Saltillo?
The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Atlético Saltillo.
Where and when is Real Apodaca vs Atlético Saltillo played?
Real Apodaca vs Atlético Saltillo is played on September 6, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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