Real Apodaca vs Atlético Saltillo: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 2Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, Apodaca Centro
The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Atlético Saltillo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Apodaca vs Atlético Saltillo?
Real Apodaca starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,996 vs 1,847).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Apodaca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Atlético Saltillo have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 2-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2024 | Leones Negros(away) | 1-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Colima(away) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Tecos(home) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Correcaminos UAT II(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Apodaca win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Atlético Saltillo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | Atlético Saltillo 0-0 Real Apodaca | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Real Apodaca 1-1 Atlético Saltillo | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Saltillo vs Real Apodaca on Mar 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Apodaca score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Saltillo score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Apodaca | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Atlético Saltillo | 0.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47 | 19 | 66 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Apodaca vs Atlético Saltillo?
- The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Atlético Saltillo.
- Where and when is Real Apodaca vs Atlético Saltillo played?
- Real Apodaca vs Atlético Saltillo is played on September 6, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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