Match

Real Bedford vs Stourbridge: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)McMullen Park, Cardington, Bedfordshire

Real BedfordStourbridge

The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Bedford vs Stourbridge?

Real Bedford starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,756).

Real Bedford win73 %
Draw15 %
Stourbridge win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Bedford have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Stourbridge have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Bedford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stratford Town(home)6-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Banbury United(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Peterborough Sports(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Leamington(home)4-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Hertford Town(home)11-2Friendlies Clubs
Stourbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leiston(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Peterborough Sports(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stamford(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Halesowen Town(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Real Bedford win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stourbridge win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Stourbridge 2-1 Real BedfordNon League Premier - Southern Central
Oct 21, 2025Real Bedford 3-1 StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Stourbridge vs Real Bedford on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Bedford score 3.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Bedford3.51.5212/1513/15
Stourbridge1.71.648/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Bedford sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern Central (9 points from 3 matches) and Stourbridge sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Real Bedford3300939
5Stourbridge2200416

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Bedford vs Stourbridge?
The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Stourbridge.
Where and when is Real Bedford vs Stourbridge played?
Real Bedford vs Stourbridge is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at McMullen Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Real Bedford and Stourbridge

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