Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)America First Field, Sandy, Utah
The Footlab model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Los Angeles FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Real Salt Lake (1,840) and Los Angeles FC (1,935).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Salt Lake have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Los Angeles FC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 3-4 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 4-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Salt Lake win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Los Angeles FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Los Angeles FC 3-1 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Los Angeles FC 4-1 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Real Salt Lake 1-4 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Los Angeles FC 1-1 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Real Salt Lake 3-0 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Los Angeles FC 0-1 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake on Jul 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Salt Lake score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Los Angeles FC score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Los Angeles FC | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Salt Lake sit 8th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 19 matches) and Los Angeles FC sit 3rd (34 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 21 | 34 |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC?
- The Footlab model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Los Angeles FC.
- Where and when is Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC played?
- Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at America First Field, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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