Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)America First Field, Sandy, Utah
The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Real Salt Lake. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Real Salt Lake (1,841) and Vancouver Whitecaps (1,906).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Salt Lake have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Vancouver Whitecaps have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 3-4 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 4-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 0-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Real Salt Lake win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Vancouver Whitecaps win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| May 25, 2025 | Real Salt Lake 2-3 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| May 4, 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Real Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Real Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Real Salt Lake on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Salt Lake score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Salt Lake sit 8th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 19 matches) and Vancouver Whitecaps sit 2nd (37 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 37 |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
- The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Real Salt Lake.
- Where and when is Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps played?
- Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at America First Field, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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