Match

Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)America First Field, Sandy, Utah

Real Salt LakeVancouver Whitecaps

The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Real Salt Lake. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Real Salt Lake (1,841) and Vancouver Whitecaps (1,906).

Real Salt Lake win34 %
Draw25 %
Vancouver Whitecaps win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Salt Lake have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Vancouver Whitecaps have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Salt Lake
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026FC Dallas(home)3-4Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Minnesota United FC(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026FC Juarez(home)3-0Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026Atlante FC(home)4-0Leagues Cup
Aug 5, 2026Tigres UANL(away)1-1Leagues Cup
Vancouver Whitecaps
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Houston Dynamo(home)0-1Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)2-0Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026Tigres UANL(away)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026FC Juarez(home)1-3Leagues Cup
Aug 5, 2026Atlante FC(home)0-1Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Real Salt Lake win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Vancouver Whitecaps win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
May 25, 2025Real Salt Lake 2-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
May 4, 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024Real Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Sep 24, 2023Real Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Real Salt Lake on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Salt Lake score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Salt Lake1.91.3411/1510/15
Vancouver Whitecaps1.31.5210/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Salt Lake sit 8th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 19 matches) and Vancouver Whitecaps sit 2nd (37 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Vancouver Whitecaps191144401837
8Real Salt Lake19847333028

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Real Salt Lake.
Where and when is Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps played?
Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at America First Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Real Salt Lake and Vancouver Whitecaps

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