Redcar Athletic vs Workington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Green Lane, Redcar, North Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Workington. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Redcar Athletic vs Workington?
Redcar Athletic starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,895 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Redcar Athletic have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Workington have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Workington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bury(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Redcar Athletic win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Workington win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Workington 0-1 Redcar Athletic | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Workington vs Redcar Athletic on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Redcar Athletic score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Workington score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redcar Athletic | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Workington | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Redcar Athletic sit 4th in Non League Premier - Northern (11 points from 5 matches) and Workington sit 19th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Redcar Athletic | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 11 |
| 19 | Workington | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Redcar Athletic vs Workington?
- The Footlab model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Workington.
- Where and when is Redcar Athletic vs Workington played?
- Redcar Athletic vs Workington is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Green Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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