Resovia Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 05:05 PM (UTC)Stadion Stal, Rzeszów
The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Resovia Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Resovia Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Resovia Rzeszów (1,800) and Arka Gdynia (1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Resovia Rzeszów have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Arka Gdynia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tychy 71(home) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Warta Poznań(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(home) | 1-5 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(home) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Resovia Rzeszów win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Arka Gdynia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Arka Gdynia 3-2 Resovia Rzeszów | I Liga |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Resovia Rzeszów 1-2 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Mar 3, 2023 | Arka Gdynia 4-0 Resovia Rzeszów | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Resovia Rzeszów 1-3 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| May 1, 2022 | Resovia Rzeszów 4-1 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Arka Gdynia 2-0 Resovia Rzeszów | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Arka Gdynia vs Resovia Rzeszów on Apr 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Resovia Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resovia Rzeszów | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Arka Gdynia | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Resovia Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia?
- The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Resovia Rzeszów.
- Where and when is Resovia Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia played?
- Resovia Rzeszów vs Arka Gdynia is played on September 2, 2026 at 05:05 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 1, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsRadomiak Radom
- Sep 1, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Sep 1, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Sep 1, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsZaglebie Lubin
- Sep 1, 2026Chemik BydgoszczvsPiast Gliwice
- Sep 1, 2026Kluczevia StargardvsPogoń Siedlce
- Sep 1, 2026Odra OpolevsWisla Krakow
- Sep 1, 2026KluczborkvsLechia Gdansk