Match

Roasso Kumamoto vs Nara Club: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto

Roasso KumamotoNara Club

The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Nara Club. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Nara Club?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,700) and Nara Club (1,664).

Roasso Kumamoto win44 %
Draw27 %
Nara Club win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Nara Club have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Roasso Kumamoto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)0-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)2-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Tochigi SC(home)0-0J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Sagamihara(away)0-0J3 League
Jul 19, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Nara Club
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)3-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Osaka(home)1-4Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Kagoshima United(home)1-3J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Ehime FC(away)1-4J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)2-0J2/J3 League

How many goals should we expect?

Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nara Club score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Roasso Kumamoto0.91.165/155/15
Nara Club1.71.9212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Nara Club sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Nara Club3102583
17Roasso Kumamoto3021012

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Nara Club?
The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Nara Club.
Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Nara Club played?
Roasso Kumamoto vs Nara Club is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Roasso Kumamoto and Nara Club

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