Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Siedlce: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Ruch Chorzów starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,862 vs 1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Pogoń Siedlce have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Pogoń Siedlce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce 2-1 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Ruch Chorzów 0-2 Pogoń Siedlce | I Liga |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Pogoń Siedlce 1-1 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Ruch Chorzów 1-1 Pogoń Siedlce | I Liga |
| Dec 1, 2021 | Pogoń Siedlce 1-1 Ruch Chorzów | II Liga - East |
| Jul 30, 2021 | Ruch Chorzów 1-1 Pogoń Siedlce | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruch Chorzów | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Pogoń Siedlce | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ruch Chorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | Pogoń Siedlce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Siedlce?
- The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Pogoń Siedlce.
- Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Siedlce played?
- Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Miedz LegnicavsNieciecza
- Oct 31, 2026Lechia GdanskvsUnia Skierniewice
- Oct 31, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsArka Gdynia
- Oct 31, 2026PodbeskidzievsWarta Poznań
- Oct 31, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsPolonia Warszawa
- Oct 31, 2026Stal RzeszówvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Oct 31, 2026Polonia BytomvsOdra Opole
- Oct 31, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsStal Mielec