Rwanda vs Liberia: result 3-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Amahoro, Kigali
Full time
What was the result of Rwanda vs Liberia?
Rwanda won 3-1 on September 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 2′?Rwanda
- 33′L. MickelsRwanda
- 38′S. NimelyLiberia
- 44′J. MickelsRwanda (pen.)
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Rwanda win at 52%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Rwanda vs Liberia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Rwanda
4-2-3-1- 7Abeddy Biramahire
- 13L. Mickels
- 20J. Mickels
- 22J. Kwizera
- 4Djihad Bizimana
- 15Bonheur Mugisha
- 2Claude Niyomugabo
- 25P. Kavita
- 5A. Mutsinzi
- 24Gilbert Byiringiro
- 1F. Ntwari
Liberia
4-2-3-1- 11S. Nimely
- 22Edward Ledlum
- 19O. Dorley
- 17F. Nyenetue
- 6Salomon Tweh
- 24S. Dweh
- 13Sabastien Teclar
- 3E. Fully
- 2Arago Jamal
- 12P. Tarnue
- 16Tommy Gbayeh Songo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rwanda have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Liberia have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Estonia(home) | 2-0 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Grenada(home) | 4-0 | FIFA Series |
| Oct 14, 2025 | South Africa(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Benin(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Zimbabwe(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Sierra Leone(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Sierra Leone(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Libya(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Benin(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Guinea(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Rwanda score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Liberia score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rwanda | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Liberia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rwanda sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (6 points from 2 matches) and Liberia sit 4th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rwanda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Liberia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Rwanda vs Liberia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy