San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)PayPal Park, San Jose, California
The Footlab model makes San Jose Earthquakes the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Colorado Rapids. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate San Jose Earthquakes (1,747) and Colorado Rapids (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Jose Earthquakes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Colorado Rapids have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(home) | 1-5 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | St. Louis City(home) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 2-4 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Diego(away) | 0-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | St. Louis City(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 San Jose Earthquakes win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Colorado Rapids win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Colorado Rapids 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes | US Open Cup |
| May 11, 2025 | Colorado Rapids 0-2 San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 16, 2025 | San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| May 12, 2024 | Colorado Rapids 2-3 San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 14, 2024 | San Jose Earthquakes 0-3 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Colorado Rapids 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes on May 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Jose Earthquakes score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Colorado Rapids score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Colorado Rapids | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th in Major League Soccer (33 points from 21 matches) and Colorado Rapids sit 7th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 33 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?
- The Footlab model makes San Jose Earthquakes the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Colorado Rapids.
- Where and when is San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids played?
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids is played on October 29, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at PayPal Park, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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