Match

FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas

FC DallasColumbus Crew

The Footlab AI model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for FC Dallas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Columbus Crew wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate FC Dallas (1,981) and Columbus Crew (1,914).

37%25%38%
FC Dallas winDrawColumbus Crew win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Dallas

3-4-2-1
  1. 23L. Farrington
  1. 21J. Valiente
  2. 55Kaick
  3. 17Ramiro
  4. 77B. Kamungo
  5. 10S. Moreno
  6. 6R. Binyamin
  1. 18S. Moore
  2. 3O. Urhoghide
  3. 25S. Ibeagha
  1. 42Daniel

Columbus Crew

3-4-3
  1. 8S. Rodríguez
  2. 10Brais Méndez
  3. 77Josef Martínez
  1. 16T. Habroune
  2. 23M. Farsi
  3. 21A. Zaroury
  4. 7D. Chambost
  1. 18M. Amundsen
  2. 25S. Zawadzki
  3. 31S. Moreira
  1. 28P. Schulte

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:43 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Dallas have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Columbus Crew have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Dallas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Seattle Sounders(home)1-0Major League Soccer
Oct 10, 2026Charlotte(away)2-3Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026Los Angeles FC(home)1-0Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Austin(home)0-0Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026Portland Timbers(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Charlotte(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Oct 10, 2026Orlando City SC(away)2-3Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026Inter Miami(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026CF Montreal(away)2-0Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2026Orlando City SC(home)2-1US Open Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Dallas wins, 4 draws, 2 Columbus Crew wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 24, 2023FC Dallas 1-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Oct 4, 2020FC Dallas 2-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Mar 16, 2019Columbus Crew 1-0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Sep 16, 2018FC Dallas 0-0 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Aug 26, 2017Columbus Crew 2-1 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Apr 3, 2016FC Dallas 1-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew on Sep 24, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

FC Dallas score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Dallas1.71.568/159/15
Columbus Crew1.51.6211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Dallas sit 3rd in Major League Soccer (50 points from 29 matches) and Columbus Crew sit 13th (32 points from 29 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3FC DallasWestern Conference291487534550
13Columbus CrewEastern Conference299515444732

A question about FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew?
The Footlab AI model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for FC Dallas.
Where and when is FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew played?
FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew is played on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Dallas and Columbus Crew

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