FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas
The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Columbus Crew. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate FC Dallas (1,867) and Columbus Crew (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Dallas have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Columbus Crew have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(away) | 0-5 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 4-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Austin(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 2-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | CF Montreal(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 11, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Dallas win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Columbus Crew win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2023 | FC Dallas 1-1 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 4, 2020 | FC Dallas 2-2 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Columbus Crew 1-0 FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 16, 2018 | FC Dallas 0-0 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Columbus Crew 2-1 FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 3, 2016 | FC Dallas 1-1 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew on Sep 24, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
FC Dallas score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Columbus Crew | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Dallas sit 5th in Major League Soccer (33 points from 21 matches) and Columbus Crew sit 14th (20 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Dallas | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew?
- The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Columbus Crew.
- Where and when is FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew played?
- FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew is played on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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