Match

FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas

FC DallasColumbus Crew

The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Columbus Crew. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate FC Dallas (1,867) and Columbus Crew (1,823).

FC Dallas win51 %
Draw24 %
Columbus Crew win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Dallas have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Columbus Crew have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Dallas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(away)0-5Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026Real Salt Lake(away)4-3Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026Austin(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026Toluca(away)1-3Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026Guadalajara Chivas(away)1-0Leagues Cup
Columbus Crew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Nashville SC(away)2-3Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026CF Montreal(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026Charlotte(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Aug 11, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026CF Pachuca(home)2-1Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Dallas win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Columbus Crew win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 24, 2023FC Dallas 1-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Oct 4, 2020FC Dallas 2-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Mar 16, 2019Columbus Crew 1-0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Sep 16, 2018FC Dallas 0-0 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Aug 26, 2017Columbus Crew 2-1 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Apr 3, 2016FC Dallas 1-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew on Sep 24, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

FC Dallas score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Dallas1.71.649/1510/15
Columbus Crew1.51.6212/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Dallas sit 5th in Major League Soccer (33 points from 21 matches) and Columbus Crew sit 14th (20 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5FC Dallas21966383433
14Columbus Crew215511303620

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew?
The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Columbus Crew.
Where and when is FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew played?
FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew is played on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Dallas and Columbus Crew

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