San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Osvaldo Francisco Baletto, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes CA Estudiantes the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for San Telmo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes?
CA Estudiantes starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,789 vs 1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Telmo have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; CA Estudiantes have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(home) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 0-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Central Norte(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 San Telmo win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 CA Estudiantes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | CA Estudiantes 1-1 San Telmo | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2025 | CA Estudiantes 2-0 San Telmo | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 22, 2025 | San Telmo 1-0 CA Estudiantes | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 24, 2022 | CA Estudiantes 2-0 San Telmo | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 29, 2019 | San Telmo 2-1 CA Estudiantes | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Nov 20, 2018 | CA Estudiantes 2-1 San Telmo | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: CA Estudiantes vs San Telmo on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Telmo score 0.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CA Estudiantes score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Telmo | 0.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| CA Estudiantes | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Telmo sit 17th in Primera Nacional (24 points from 25 matches) and CA Estudiantes sit 7th (35 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 22 | 35 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes?
- The Footlab model makes CA Estudiantes the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for San Telmo.
- Where and when is San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes played?
- San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Osvaldo Francisco Baletto, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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