Santurtzi vs Beasain: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Jorge, Santurtzi
The Footlab AI model makes Beasain the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Santurtzi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Beasain wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santurtzi vs Beasain?
Beasain starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,817 vs 1,651).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santurtzi vs Beasain
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santurtzi
Not enough data to predict the Santurtzi lineup.
Beasain
Not enough data to predict the Beasain lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santurtzi have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Beasain have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | R. Union B(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pasaia KE(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lagun Onak(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Derio(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Durango(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lagun Onak(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Derio(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Durango(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Touring(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Santurtzi wins, 1 draw, 3 Beasain wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Beasain 2-0 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Santurtzi 1-3 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Beasain 3-0 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2019 | Beasain 0-0 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Santurtzi score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Beasain score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santurtzi | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Beasain | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santurtzi sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (6 points from 6 matches) and Beasain sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Beasain | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Santurtzi | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Santurtzi vs Beasain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santurtzi vs Beasain?
- The Footlab AI model makes Beasain the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Santurtzi.
- Where and when is Santurtzi vs Beasain played?
- Santurtzi vs Beasain is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Jorge, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.