Match

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen

Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07

The Footlab AI model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1. If Werder Bremen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Werder Bremen (2,064) and SC Paderborn 07 (2,096).

43%24%33%
Werder Bremen winDrawSC Paderborn 07 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Werder Bremen

3-4-3
  1. 10N. Füllkrug
  2. 20Chuky San José
  3. 18E. Dinkçi
  1. 15L. Reis
  2. 17M. Grüll
  3. 44Y. Regeer
  4. 13Arthur
  1. 2O. Deman
  2. 32M. Friedl
  3. 5A. Pieper
  1. 1K. Hein

SC Paderborn 07

3-5-2
  1. 18M. Pieringer
  2. 30S. Marino
  1. 5S. Castañeda
  2. 40G. Vidović
  3. 23R. Obermair
  4. 17L. Curda
  5. 28L. Ulrich
  1. 21J. ter Horst
  2. 22M. Hansen
  3. 25T. Scheller
  1. 15N. Noll

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 03:33 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026FC Augsburg(home)3-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 20261. FC Köln(away)1-1Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026RB Leipzig(home)3-1Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2026SC Freiburg(away)1-4Bundesliga
Aug 22, 2026Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)3-0DFB Pokal
SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 30, 2026DC United(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)3-1Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)0-3Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026SC Freiburg(home)0-1Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)0-0Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Werder Bremen wins, 2 draws, 1 SC Paderborn 07 win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Werder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs
Oct 30, 2024SC Paderborn 07 0-1 Werder BremenDFB Pokal
Oct 19, 2022SC Paderborn 07 2-2 Werder BremenDFB Pokal
Jan 22, 2022SC Paderborn 07 3-4 Werder Bremen2. Bundesliga
Aug 15, 2021Werder Bremen 1-4 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
Jun 13, 2020SC Paderborn 07 1-5 Werder BremenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Werder Bremen score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen1.91.539/158/15
SC Paderborn 071.51.458/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Werder Bremen sit 8th in Bundesliga (7 points from 4 matches) and SC Paderborn 07 sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Werder Bremen4211887
12SC Paderborn 074112354

A question about Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
The Footlab AI model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 played?
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Werder Bremen and SC Paderborn 07

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