Where and when is Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 played?

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen

Werder Bremen

SC Paderborn 07

The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Werder Bremen (2,033) and SC Paderborn 07 (2,071).

Werder Bremen win38 %

Draw25 %

SC Paderborn 07 win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Werder Bremen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)	3-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Auxerre(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

SC Paderborn 07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(home)	2-1	Bundesliga
May 21, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-0	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Werder Bremen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 SC Paderborn 07 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Werder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07	Friendlies Clubs
Oct 30, 2024	SC Paderborn 07 0-1 Werder Bremen	DFB Pokal
Oct 19, 2022	SC Paderborn 07 2-2 Werder Bremen	DFB Pokal
Jan 22, 2022	SC Paderborn 07 3-4 Werder Bremen	2. Bundesliga
Aug 15, 2021	Werder Bremen 1-4 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
Jun 13, 2020	SC Paderborn 07 1-5 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen	1.8	1.3	4	8/15	8/15
SC Paderborn 07	1.9	1.5	4	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37	60	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?: The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 played?: Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.