Match

Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen

Werder BremenFSV Mainz 05

The Footlab AI model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1. If FSV Mainz 05 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,876 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05?

A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Werder Bremen (2,107) and FSV Mainz 05 (2,202).

29%23%48%
Werder Bremen winDrawFSV Mainz 05 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
  1. 10N. Füllkrug
  1. 15L. Reis
  2. 20Chuky San José
  3. 17M. Grüll
  4. 44Y. Regeer
  5. 18E. Dinkçi
  1. 2O. Deman
  2. 32M. Friedl
  3. 5A. Pieper
  4. 13Arthur
  1. 1K. Hein

FSV Mainz 05

3-5-2
  1. 9P. Tietz
  2. 23S. Becker
  1. 10N. Amiri
  2. 19A. Caci
  3. 2P. Mwene
  4. 6K. Sano
  5. 7Lee Jae-Sung
  1. 4S. Posch
  2. 48K. Potulski
  3. 3F. Gruber
  1. 1A. Schwolow

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:15 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 9, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2026FC Augsburg(home)3-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 20261. FC Köln(away)1-1Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026RB Leipzig(home)3-1Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026FC Schalke 04(away)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)3-4Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)4-3Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)1-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Werder Bremen wins, 1 draw, 1 FSV Mainz 05 win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026Werder Bremen 0-2 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2025FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
Jan 31, 2025Werder Bremen 1-0 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Sep 15, 2024FSV Mainz 05 1-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
Feb 3, 2024FSV Mainz 05 0-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
Sep 2, 2023Werder Bremen 4-0 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05 on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Werder Bremen score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 score 3.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen2.11.539/159/15
FSV Mainz 053.51.096/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Werder Bremen sit 8th in Bundesliga (9 points from 6 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 sit 5th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5FSV Mainz 056312141010
8Werder Bremen623112129

A question about Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05?
The Footlab AI model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05 played?
Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05 is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Werder Bremen and FSV Mainz 05

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