Match

Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SVSC Paderborn 07

The Footlab AI model makes Hamburger SV the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hamburger SV wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Hamburger SV (2,095) and SC Paderborn 07 (2,099).

45%24%31%
Hamburger SV winDrawSC Paderborn 07 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hamburger SV

3-4-2-1
  1. 15Y. Poulsen
  1. 3D. Møller Wolfe
  2. 20Fábio Vieira
  3. 5M. Adeline
  4. 37L. Lemke
  5. 21N. Remberg
  6. 6A. Sambi Lokonga
  1. 24N. Capaldo
  2. 33S. Bornauw
  3. 17W. Omari
  1. 1Daniel Heuer Fernandes

SC Paderborn 07

3-5-2
  1. 30S. Marino
  2. 18M. Pieringer
  1. 5S. Castañeda
  2. 40G. Vidović
  3. 23R. Obermair
  4. 17L. Curda
  5. 28L. Ulrich
  1. 21J. ter Horst
  2. 22M. Hansen
  3. 25T. Scheller
  1. 15N. Noll

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 10, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)3-2Bundesliga
Oct 4, 2026FC Copenhagen(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 20261. FC Köln(home)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-5Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Werder Bremen(away)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 30, 2026DC United(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)3-1Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)0-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hamburger SV win, 2 draws, 3 SC Paderborn 07 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 2, 2025SC Paderborn 07 2-0 Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
Sep 28, 2024Hamburger SV 2-2 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
May 10, 2024SC Paderborn 07 1-0 Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
Dec 9, 2023Hamburger SV 1-2 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
May 5, 2023Hamburger SV 2-2 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2022SC Paderborn 07 2-3 Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV on Mar 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hamburger SV score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV1.61.839/1511/15
SC Paderborn 071.41.457/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hamburger SV sit 9th in Bundesliga (9 points from 6 matches) and SC Paderborn 07 sit 15th (5 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Hamburger SV63036159
15SC Paderborn 076123595

A question about Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07?
The Footlab AI model makes Hamburger SV the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07 played?
Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hamburger SV and SC Paderborn 07

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