Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington
The Footlab model makes Seattle Sounders the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Houston Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Seattle Sounders (1,799) and Houston Dynamo (1,837).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seattle Sounders have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Houston Dynamo have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | St. Louis City(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(away) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 8, 2026 | New England Revolution(away) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City(away) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Seattle Sounders win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Houston Dynamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Houston Dynamo 0-1 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| May 11, 2025 | Houston Dynamo 1-3 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Seattle Sounders 0-0 Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Houston Dynamo 1-1 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Seattle Sounders 0-0 Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Seattle Sounders 1-0 Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Seattle Sounders score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Houston Dynamo score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Houston Dynamo | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Seattle Sounders sit 13th in Major League Soccer (25 points from 20 matches) and Houston Dynamo sit 2nd (38 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 38 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?
- The Footlab model makes Seattle Sounders the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Houston Dynamo.
- Where and when is Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo played?
- Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo is played on October 29, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Lumen Field, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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