Shifnal Town FC vs Rugby Borough: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Acoustafoam Stadium, Shifnal, Shropshire
The Footlab model makes Shifnal Town FC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Rugby Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shifnal Town FC vs Rugby Borough?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Shifnal Town FC (1,702) and Rugby Borough (1,662).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shifnal Town FC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Rugby Borough have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Coleshill Town(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lower Breck(home) | 1-3 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kidsgrove Athletic(away) | 2-1 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Wythenshawe Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Congleton Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rugby Town(home) | 4-0 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Basford United(away) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 11, 2026 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds(away) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Coventry Sphinx(home) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Loughborough University(away) | 0-1 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
How many goals should we expect?
Shifnal Town FC score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rugby Borough score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shifnal Town FC | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Rugby Borough | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shifnal Town FC vs Rugby Borough?
- The Footlab model makes Shifnal Town FC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Rugby Borough.
- Where and when is Shifnal Town FC vs Rugby Borough played?
- Shifnal Town FC vs Rugby Borough is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Acoustafoam Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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