Match

Shifnal Town FC vs Rugby Borough: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Acoustafoam Stadium, Shifnal, Shropshire

Shifnal Town FCRugby Borough

The Footlab model makes Shifnal Town FC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Rugby Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shifnal Town FC vs Rugby Borough?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Shifnal Town FC (1,702) and Rugby Borough (1,662).

Shifnal Town FC win47 %
Draw25 %
Rugby Borough win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shifnal Town FC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Rugby Borough have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shifnal Town FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 28, 2026Coleshill Town(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Lower Breck(home)1-3Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 18, 2026Kidsgrove Athletic(away)2-1Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 11, 2026Wythenshawe Town(home)1-2Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 6, 2026Congleton Town(away)0-2Non League Div One - Northern West
Rugby Borough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Rugby Town(home)4-0Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 18, 2026Basford United(away)1-2Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 11, 2026AFC Rushden & Diamonds(away)1-1Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 6, 2026Coventry Sphinx(home)1-1Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 4, 2026Loughborough University(away)0-1Non League Div One - Northern Midlands

How many goals should we expect?

Shifnal Town FC score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rugby Borough score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Shifnal Town FC1.32.1211/1511/15
Rugby Borough1.20.956/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shifnal Town FC vs Rugby Borough?
The Footlab model makes Shifnal Town FC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Rugby Borough.
Where and when is Shifnal Town FC vs Rugby Borough played?
Shifnal Town FC vs Rugby Borough is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Acoustafoam Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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