SKRA Częstochowa vs Miedź Legnica II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, Częstochowa
The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Miedź Legnica II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SKRA Częstochowa vs Miedź Legnica II?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate SKRA Częstochowa (1,782) and Miedź Legnica II (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKRA Częstochowa have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Miedź Legnica II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Słowianin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 22, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Górnik Zabrze II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 SKRA Częstochowa win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Miedź Legnica II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | SKRA Częstochowa 1-0 Miedź Legnica II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Miedź Legnica II 2-2 SKRA Częstochowa | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: SKRA Częstochowa vs Miedź Legnica II on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Miedź Legnica II score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKRA Częstochowa | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Miedź Legnica II | 2.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Miedź Legnica II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SKRA Częstochowa vs Miedź Legnica II?
- The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Miedź Legnica II.
- Where and when is SKRA Częstochowa vs Miedź Legnica II played?
- SKRA Częstochowa vs Miedź Legnica II is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Stal BrzegvsCarina Gubin
- Oct 3, 2026Stilon GorzówvsBarycz Sułów
- Oct 3, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsGórnik Polkowice
- Oct 3, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Oct 3, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsROW Rybnik
- Oct 3, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Oct 3, 2026Sparta KatowicevsWarta Gorzów
- Oct 3, 2026SłowianinvsKluczbork