Oborishte vs Septemvri Sofia II: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Orcho voyvoda, Panagyurishte
The Footlab AI model makes Oborishte the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Septemvri Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oborishte wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oborishte vs Septemvri Sofia II?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Oborishte (1,522) and Septemvri Sofia II (1,488).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oborishte vs Septemvri Sofia II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oborishte
4-3-3- PP. Petkov
- GGeorgi Netov
- GG. Anev
- MM. Sandov
- DDimitar Pantaleev
- MM. Valchinov
- SS. Georgiev
- SS. Stefanov
- AA. Hristov
- II. Velikov
- MM. Matev
Septemvri Sofia II
Not enough data to predict the Septemvri Sofia II lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oborishte have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Septemvri Sofia II have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oborishte wins, 0 draws, 3 Septemvri Sofia II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II 2-0 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Oborishte 2-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia II 3-2 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Oborishte 1-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia II 0-2 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Oborishte 1-5 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia II vs Oborishte on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oborishte score 2.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Sofia II score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oborishte | 2.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Septemvri Sofia II | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oborishte sit 2nd in Third League - Southwest (22 points from 10 matches) and Septemvri Sofia II sit 5th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oborishte | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Septemvri Sofia II | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
A question about Oborishte vs Septemvri Sofia II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oborishte vs Septemvri Sofia II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oborishte the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Septemvri Sofia II.
- Where and when is Oborishte vs Septemvri Sofia II played?
- Oborishte vs Septemvri Sofia II is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Orcho voyvoda, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 28, 2026BanskovsSlivnishki geroy
- Oct 28, 2026Strumska SlavavsLevski Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsKostinbrod
- Oct 28, 2026BelasitsavsChavdar Etropole
- Oct 28, 2026KyustendilvsBotev Ihtiman
- Oct 28, 2026Pirin RazlogvsBalkan Botevgrad
- Oct 28, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsSlavia Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026Natsional SofiavsCSKA Sofia III