Oborishte vs Septemvri Sofia II: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Orcho voyvoda, Panagyurishte
The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Septemvri Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oborishte vs Septemvri Sofia II?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Oborishte (1,530) and Septemvri Sofia II (1,510).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oborishte have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Septemvri Sofia II have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 4-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Germaneya(home) | 5-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oborishte win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Septemvri Sofia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II 2-0 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Oborishte 2-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia II 3-2 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Oborishte 1-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia II 0-2 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Oborishte 1-5 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia II vs Oborishte on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oborishte score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Sofia II score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oborishte | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Septemvri Sofia II | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oborishte sit 3rd in Third League - Southwest (8 points from 4 matches) and Septemvri Sofia II sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oborishte | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Septemvri Sofia II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oborishte vs Septemvri Sofia II?
- The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Septemvri Sofia II.
- Where and when is Oborishte vs Septemvri Sofia II played?
- Oborishte vs Septemvri Sofia II is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Orcho voyvoda, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 28, 2026BanskovsSlivnishki geroy
- Oct 28, 2026Strumska SlavavsLevski Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsKostinbrod
- Oct 28, 2026BelasitsavsChavdar Etropole
- Oct 28, 2026KyustendilvsBotev Ihtiman
- Oct 28, 2026Pirin RazlogvsBalkan Botevgrad
- Oct 28, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsSlavia Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026Natsional SofiavsCSKA Sofia III