Match

Slivnishki geroy vs Kyustendil: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Slivnitsa

Slivnishki geroyKyustendil

The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Kyustendil. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slivnishki geroy vs Kyustendil?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Slivnishki geroy (1,420) and Kyustendil (1,450).

Slivnishki geroy win55 %
Draw24 %
Kyustendil win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slivnishki geroy have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kyustendil have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slivnishki geroy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Levski Sofia II(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Slavia Sofia II(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Botev Ihtiman(home)2-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Kyustendil(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Slavia Sofia II(home)0-3Third League - Southwest
Kyustendil
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026CSKA Sofia III(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Kostinbrod(away)1-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Slivnishki geroy(home)2-1Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026Septemvri Simitli(away)0-2Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Slivnishki geroy win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kyustendil win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Kyustendil 2-1 Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest
May 23, 2026Kyustendil 0-0 Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest
Nov 8, 2025Slivnishki geroy 2-4 KyustendilThird League - Southwest
May 14, 2025Slivnishki geroy 2-2 KyustendilThird League - Southwest
Oct 24, 2024Kyustendil 0-2 Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest
Mar 2, 2024Slivnishki geroy 3-0 KyustendilThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Kyustendil vs Slivnishki geroy on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kyustendil score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Slivnishki geroy1.51.258/1510/15
Kyustendil0.71.648/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slivnishki geroy sit 8th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Kyustendil sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Slivnishki geroy4202666
15Kyustendil4112464

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slivnishki geroy vs Kyustendil?
The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Kyustendil.
Where and when is Slivnishki geroy vs Kyustendil played?
Slivnishki geroy vs Kyustendil is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Slivnishki geroy and Kyustendil

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