Slivnishki geroy vs Kyustendil: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Slivnitsa
The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Kyustendil. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slivnishki geroy vs Kyustendil?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Slivnishki geroy (1,420) and Kyustendil (1,450).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slivnishki geroy have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kyustendil have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 2-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Slivnishki geroy win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kyustendil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kyustendil 2-1 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| May 23, 2026 | Kyustendil 0-0 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Slivnishki geroy 2-4 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
| May 14, 2025 | Slivnishki geroy 2-2 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Kyustendil 0-2 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Slivnishki geroy 3-0 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Kyustendil vs Slivnishki geroy on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kyustendil score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slivnishki geroy | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Kyustendil | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slivnishki geroy sit 8th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Kyustendil sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Slivnishki geroy | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | Kyustendil | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slivnishki geroy vs Kyustendil?
- The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Kyustendil.
- Where and when is Slivnishki geroy vs Kyustendil played?
- Slivnishki geroy vs Kyustendil is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsStrumska Slava
- Nov 21, 2026BelasitsavsPirin Razlog
- Nov 21, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsBansko
- Nov 21, 2026KostinbrodvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Nov 21, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBotev Ihtiman
- Nov 21, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsSlavia Sofia II
- Nov 21, 2026Natsional SofiavsFK Minyor Pernik
- Nov 21, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsOborishte