Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs SKRA Częstochowa played?

Sparta Katowice vs SKRA Częstochowa is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sparta Katowice vs SKRA Częstochowa: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rapid, Katowice

Sparta Katowice

SKRA Częstochowa

The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for SKRA Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sparta Katowice vs SKRA Częstochowa?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Sparta Katowice (1,832) and SKRA Częstochowa (1,782).

Sparta Katowice win58 %

Draw22 %

SKRA Częstochowa win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Katowice have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; SKRA Częstochowa have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sparta Katowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Stal Brzeg(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Stilon Gorzów(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Zagłębie Lubin II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 3

SKRA Częstochowa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 30, 2026	Słowianin(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
May 22, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	4-0	III Liga - Group 3
May 16, 2026	Sparta Katowice(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
May 9, 2026	Górnik Zabrze II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Sparta Katowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SKRA Częstochowa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Sparta Katowice 1-0 SKRA Częstochowa	III Liga - Group 3
Oct 31, 2025	SKRA Częstochowa 1-2 Sparta Katowice	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Sparta Katowice vs SKRA Częstochowa on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sparta Katowice	1.9	0.9	6	8/15	9/15
SKRA Częstochowa	2.0	1.3	4	9/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Sparta Katowice	5	3	1	1	8	4	10

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sparta Katowice vs SKRA Częstochowa?: The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for SKRA Częstochowa.
Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs SKRA Częstochowa played?: Sparta Katowice vs SKRA Częstochowa is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.