Sporting de Lourel vs Angrense: prediction and stats
Taça de Portugal1/128-finalsKick-off on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Sporting de Lourel the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Angrense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting de Lourel vs Angrense?
Sporting de Lourel starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Sporting de Lourel have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Angrense have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2021 | Estrela(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 25, 2016 | 1º Dezembro(away) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Beneditense(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Benfica Castelo Branco(away) | 1-7 | Taça de Portugal |
| Apr 19, 2023 | FC Serpa(away) | 2-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Lusitano Évora 1911(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Juventude Évora(away) | 0-6 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Lagos(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting de Lourel score 0.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 3; Angrense score 0.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting de Lourel | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
| Angrense | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting de Lourel vs Angrense?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting de Lourel the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Angrense.
- Where and when is Sporting de Lourel vs Angrense played?
- Sporting de Lourel vs Angrense is played on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.