Match

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, Kansas

Sporting Kansas CityPortland Timbers

The Footlab AI model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Sporting Kansas City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Portland Timbers wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

Portland Timbers starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,851 vs 1,730).

30%23%47%
Sporting Kansas City winDrawPortland Timbers win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sporting Kansas City

4-4-2
  1. 19T. Calheira
  2. 17S. Afrifa
  1. 4L. Johnsen
  2. 14C. Harris
  3. 20K. Agyabeng
  4. 11André Luiz
  1. 18E. Karić
  2. 13J. Reynolds
  3. 28Wyatt Meyer
  4. 15Jansen Miller
  1. 30S. Cleveland

Portland Timbers

4-2-3-1
  1. 14V. Janssen
  1. 99K. Velde
  2. 17C. Bassett
  3. 10David Pereira da Costa
  4. 7A. Lassiter
  5. 21D. Chará
  1. 27J. Fory
  2. 12R. Hernández
  3. 20F. Surman
  4. 4K. Miller
  1. 41J. Pantemis

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:23 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Kansas City have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Portland Timbers have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sporting Kansas City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026Houston Dynamo(away)2-0Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Philadelphia Union(home)3-4Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026Los Angeles FC(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026FC Dallas(away)3-4Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026San Jose Earthquakes(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Atlanta United FC(home)0-1Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026FC Dallas(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026St. Louis City(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026Minnesota United FC(home)5-4Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sporting Kansas City win, 1 draw, 4 Portland Timbers wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Portland Timbers 6-0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
May 11, 2025Portland Timbers 1-0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Apr 13, 2025Sporting Kansas City 2-4 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
May 26, 2024Portland Timbers 2-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024Sporting Kansas City 3-3 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
May 28, 2023Sporting Kansas City 4-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sporting Kansas City score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Portland Timbers score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sporting Kansas City1.42.1110/1511/15
Portland Timbers2.01.9014/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sporting Kansas City sit 15th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 27 matches) and Portland Timbers sit 10th (32 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Portland Timbers279513485132
15Sporting Kansas City276318326521

A question about Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?
The Footlab AI model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Sporting Kansas City.
Where and when is Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers played?
Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Children's Mercy Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers

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