Where and when is St. Louis City vs FC Dallas played?

St. Louis City vs FC Dallas is played on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at CITYPARK, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

St. Louis City vs FC Dallas: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)CITYPARK, St. Louis, Missouri

St. Louis City

FC Dallas

The Footlab model makes St. Louis City the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for FC Dallas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win St. Louis City vs FC Dallas?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate St. Louis City (1,837) and FC Dallas (1,893).

St. Louis City win45 %

Draw25 %

FC Dallas win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Louis City have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; FC Dallas have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

St. Louis City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	San Jose Earthquakes(away)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026	Real Salt Lake(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026	Colorado Rapids(home)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(away)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2026	Sporting Kansas City(home)	3-2	Major League Soccer

FC Dallas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 17, 2026	Austin(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Toluca(away)	1-3	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Guadalajara Chivas(away)	1-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 6, 2026	Club Queretaro(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 2, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(away)	0-0	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 St. Louis City win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC Dallas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	FC Dallas 1-1 St. Louis City	Major League Soccer
Sep 7, 2025	St. Louis City 1-1 FC Dallas	Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2025	FC Dallas 3-0 St. Louis City	Major League Soccer
Jul 28, 2024	St. Louis City 2-1 FC Dallas	Leagues Cup
Jun 16, 2024	FC Dallas 2-0 St. Louis City	Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024	St. Louis City 0-0 FC Dallas	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: FC Dallas vs St. Louis City on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

St. Louis City score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Dallas score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
St. Louis City	1.9	1.3	4	10/15	10/15
FC Dallas	1.5	1.3	4	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

St. Louis City sit 6th in Major League Soccer (29 points from 19 matches) and FC Dallas sit 5th (30 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	FC Dallas	19	8	6	5	34	26	30
6	St. Louis City	19	8	5	6	27	25	29

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas?: The Footlab model makes St. Louis City the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for FC Dallas.
Where and when is St. Louis City vs FC Dallas played?: St. Louis City vs FC Dallas is played on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at CITYPARK, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.