Where and when is Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets played?

Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bracken Moor, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bracken Moor, Stocksbridge, South Yorkshire

Stocksbridge Park Steels

Runcorn Linnets

The Footlab model makes Runcorn Linnets the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Stocksbridge Park Steels. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets?

Runcorn Linnets starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,655).

Stocksbridge Park Steels win28 %

Draw25 %

Runcorn Linnets win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stocksbridge Park Steels have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Runcorn Linnets have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stocksbridge Park Steels
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Lancaster City(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Apr 18, 2026	Ilkeston Town(home)	0-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Apr 11, 2026	Rylands(away)	2-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Apr 6, 2026	Leek Town(home)	0-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Apr 2, 2026	Cleethorpes Town(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern

Runcorn Linnets
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 31, 2026	Leek Town(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Newcastle Town(away)	2-1	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 18, 2026	Stalybridge Celtic(home)	2-2	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 11, 2026	Kidsgrove Athletic(away)	3-1	Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 6, 2026	Bootle(home)	1-1	Non League Div One - Northern West

How many goals should we expect?

Stocksbridge Park Steels score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Runcorn Linnets score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stocksbridge Park Steels	0.7	1.7	2	7/15	5/15
Runcorn Linnets	1.5	0.9	6	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets?: The Footlab model makes Runcorn Linnets the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Stocksbridge Park Steels.
Where and when is Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets played?: Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bracken Moor, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.