Where and when is Stotfold vs Gorleston played?

Stotfold vs Gorleston is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The JSJ Stadium, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stotfold vs Gorleston: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The JSJ Stadium, Stotfold

Stotfold

Gorleston

The Footlab model makes Gorleston the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Stotfold. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stotfold vs Gorleston?

Gorleston starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,721 vs 1,522).

Stotfold win27 %

Draw25 %

Gorleston win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stotfold have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Gorleston have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stotfold
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 21, 2026	Enfield Town(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Barton Rovers(home)	1-2	Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 18, 2026	Rayners Lane(away)	4-0	Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 11, 2026	Aylesbury United(away)	1-3	Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 6, 2026	Hitchin Town(home)	0-1	Non League Div One - Southern Central

Gorleston
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 28, 2026	Leiston(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Grays Athletic(home)	3-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 18, 2026	Maldon & Tiptree(away)	1-4	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 11, 2026	Tilbury(home)	3-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 6, 2026	Wroxham(away)	0-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian North

How many goals should we expect?

Stotfold score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gorleston score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stotfold	0.9	1.7	3	7/15	9/15
Gorleston	1.3	1.5	6	6/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stotfold vs Gorleston?: The Footlab model makes Gorleston the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Stotfold.
Where and when is Stotfold vs Gorleston played?: Stotfold vs Gorleston is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The JSJ Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.