Match

Septemvri Simitli vs Belasitsa: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Struma, Simitli

Septemvri SimitliBelasitsa

The Footlab AI model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Belasitsa. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Septemvri Simitli vs Belasitsa?

On Elo ratings, Septemvri Simitli has 1,422 points and Belasitsa 1,396.

67%20%13%
Septemvri Simitli winDrawBelasitsa win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Septemvri Simitli vs Belasitsa

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Septemvri Simitli

4-3-3
  1. GG. Bozhilov
  2. NN. Chibout
  3. VV. Zlatinov
  1. HH. Mladenov
  2. FF. Angelov
  3. JJ. Da Sylva
  1. KK. Mihaylov
  2. DD. Mitev
  3. PP. Kepov
  4. SS. Kosov
  1. FF. Dimitrov

Belasitsa

4-3-3
  1. 17I. Filchev
  2. 9K. Krastev
  3. 99D. Ivanov
  1. 26K. Valkov
  2. 18G. Karakashev
  3. 14I. Marchev
  1. 4D. Yovchev
  2. 5D. Yaramov
  3. 19V. Ergin
  4. 15A. Karachorov
  1. 1V. Ivanov

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:19 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Simitli have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Belasitsa have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Septemvri Simitli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Strumska Slava(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
Sep 26, 2026Oborishte(home)1-3Third League - Southwest
Sep 19, 2026Bansko(away)1-3Third League - Southwest
Sep 12, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(home)0-2Third League - Southwest
Sep 5, 2026Pirin Razlog(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
Belasitsa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 7, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)1-2Third League - Southwest
Oct 4, 2026Dobrudzha(home)1-2Cup
Sep 26, 2026Strumska Slava(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
Sep 19, 2026Kostinbrod(home)0-1Third League - Southwest
Sep 13, 2026Oborishte(away)0-1Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Septemvri Simitli wins, 1 draw, 1 Belasitsa win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 29, 2020Belasitsa 0-2 Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest
Aug 10, 2019Septemvri Simitli 3-1 BelasitsaThird League - Southwest
May 4, 2019Septemvri Simitli 0-0 BelasitsaThird League - Southwest
Oct 27, 2018Belasitsa 1-0 Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Belasitsa vs Septemvri Simitli on Feb 29, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Septemvri Simitli score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Belasitsa score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Septemvri Simitli1.61.459/159/15
Belasitsa1.42.0111/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Septemvri Simitli sit 12th in Third League - Southwest (12 points from 10 matches) and Belasitsa sit 14th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Septemvri Simitli10334141812
14Belasitsa10316162010

A question about Septemvri Simitli vs Belasitsa?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Septemvri Simitli vs Belasitsa?
The Footlab AI model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Belasitsa.
Where and when is Septemvri Simitli vs Belasitsa played?
Septemvri Simitli vs Belasitsa is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Struma, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Septemvri Simitli and Belasitsa

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