Swansea vs Charlton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
The Footlab AI model makes Swansea the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Charlton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swansea wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,172 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swansea vs Charlton?
Swansea starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (2,042 vs 1,905).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Swansea vs Charlton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Swansea
4-3-3- 49M. Yeo
- 30Joseph Okopu
- 33A. Idah
- 4J. Fulton
- 6M. Stamenić
- 17Gonçalo Franco
- 14J. Tymon
- 5B. Cabango
- 23S. Welsh
- 26F. Lissah
- 22L. Vigouroux
Charlton
4-2-3-1- 11M. Leaburn
- 9K. Ahearne-Grant
- 7T. Campbell
- 6C. Coventry
- 34O. Skipp
- 33Micah Mbick
- 5L. Jones
- 20D. McNamara
- 12Billy Dawson Koumetio
- 2K. Ramsay
- 13A. Okonkwo
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 12:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swansea have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Charlton have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Watford(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Swansea wins, 1 draw, 0 Charlton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Swansea 3-1 Charlton | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Charlton 1-1 Swansea | Championship |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Charlton 1-2 Swansea | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 2, 2020 | Swansea 1-0 Charlton | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2019 | Charlton 1-2 Swansea | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Swansea score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Charlton score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Charlton | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swansea sit 2nd in Championship (23 points from 11 matches) and Charlton sit 16th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Swansea | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
| 16 | Charlton | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Swansea vs Charlton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swansea vs Charlton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swansea the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Charlton.
- Where and when is Swansea vs Charlton played?
- Swansea vs Charlton is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Swansea.com Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.