Charlton vs Watford: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Valley, London
The Footlab AI model makes Charlton the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Watford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Charlton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charlton vs Watford?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Charlton (1,857) and Watford (1,801).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Charlton vs Watford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Charlton
4-2-3-1- 11M. Leaburn
- 9K. Ahearne-Grant
- 7T. Campbell
- 6C. Coventry
- 34O. Skipp
- 33Micah Mbick
- 5L. Jones
- 20D. McNamara
- 12Billy Dawson Koumetio
- 2K. Ramsay
- 13A. Okonkwo
Watford
4-2-3-1- 9L. Kjerrumgaard
- 5H. Kyprianou
- 39E. Kayembe
- 17Iker Bravo
- 20M. Doumbia
- 7O. Maamma
- 6M. Pollock
- 4K. Keben
- 3S. Coulibaly
- 23O. Traoré
- 1F. Ravaglia
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlton have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Watford have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Watford(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Charlton wins, 1 draw, 2 Watford wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Watford 2-0 Charlton | Championship |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Watford 1-1 Charlton | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Charlton 1-0 Watford | Championship |
| Jan 17, 2015 | Watford 5-0 Charlton | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Charlton 1-0 Watford | Championship |
| Apr 29, 2014 | Charlton 3-1 Watford | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Charlton score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charlton sit 17th in Championship (14 points from 11 matches) and Watford sit 20th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Charlton | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Charlton vs Watford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charlton vs Watford?
- The Footlab AI model makes Charlton the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Watford.
- Where and when is Charlton vs Watford played?
- Charlton vs Watford is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Valley, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.