Swindon Supermarine vs Slimbridge: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Webbs Wood Stadium, Swindon, Wiltshire
The Footlab model makes Swindon Supermarine the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Slimbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swindon Supermarine vs Slimbridge?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Swindon Supermarine (1,618) and Slimbridge (1,564).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swindon Supermarine have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Slimbridge have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-4 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bideford(home) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Tavistock(away) | 3-0 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Didcot Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Dorchester Town(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Portishead Town(away) | 6-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Corsham Town(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Wallingford & Crowmarsh(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Malmesbury Victoria(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Swindon Supermarine win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Slimbridge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2016 | Slimbridge 1-3 Swindon Supermarine | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Slimbridge vs Swindon Supermarine on Oct 8, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Swindon Supermarine score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Slimbridge score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Supermarine | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Slimbridge | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swindon Supermarine vs Slimbridge?
- The Footlab model makes Swindon Supermarine the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Slimbridge.
- Where and when is Swindon Supermarine vs Slimbridge played?
- Swindon Supermarine vs Slimbridge is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Webbs Wood Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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