Where and when is Tilbury vs Hertford Town played?

Tilbury vs Hertford Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Chadfields, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tilbury vs Hertford Town: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Chadfields, Tilbury, Essex

Tilbury

Hertford Town

The Footlab model makes Tilbury the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Hertford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tilbury vs Hertford Town?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Tilbury (1,708) and Hertford Town (1,736).

Tilbury win41 %

Draw25 %

Hertford Town win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tilbury have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hertford Town have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tilbury
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 31, 2026	Aveley(away)	5-4	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Witham Town(home)	1-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 18, 2026	Stanway Rovers(away)	0-2	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 11, 2026	Gorleston(away)	0-3	Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 6, 2026	Grays Athletic(home)	1-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian North

Hertford Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Real Bedford(away)	2-11	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Aylesbury United(away)	3-1	Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 18, 2026	Flackwell Heath(home)	6-0	Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 11, 2026	Marlow(away)	1-3	Non League Div One - Southern Central
Apr 6, 2026	Welwyn Garden City(home)	3-0	Non League Div One - Southern Central

How many goals should we expect?

Tilbury score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hertford Town score 3.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tilbury	1.6	1.2	6	7/15	7/15
Hertford Town	3.1	2.0	5	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tilbury vs Hertford Town?: The Footlab model makes Tilbury the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Hertford Town.
Where and when is Tilbury vs Hertford Town played?: Tilbury vs Hertford Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Chadfields, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.