Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama played?

Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama is played on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Tokyo Verdy

Fagiano Okayama

The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Tokyo Verdy (1,872) and Fagiano Okayama (1,938).

Tokyo Verdy win30 %

Draw27 %

Fagiano Okayama win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokyo Verdy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Fagiano Okayama have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokyo Verdy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	2-4	J1 League

Fagiano Okayama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Beluga Rosso Iwami(home)	3-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(home)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	FC Schalke 04(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tokyo Verdy win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Fagiano Okayama win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Fagiano Okayama 0-0 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Sep 20, 2025	Tokyo Verdy 4-2 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League
Apr 29, 2025	Fagiano Okayama 0-1 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Aug 26, 2023	Tokyo Verdy 2-3 Fagiano Okayama	J2 League
Jun 11, 2023	Fagiano Okayama 1-2 Tokyo Verdy	J2 League
Oct 23, 2022	Tokyo Verdy 2-0 Fagiano Okayama	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tokyo Verdy	1.1	1.4	5	8/15	6/15
Fagiano Okayama	1.4	1.0	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tokyo Verdy sit 17th in J1 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Fagiano Okayama sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Fagiano Okayama	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
17	Tokyo Verdy	3	0	2	1	2	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama?: The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama played?: Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama is played on May 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.